<P> The carrying capacity of a biological species in an environment is the maximum population size of the species that the environment can sustain indefinitely, given the food, habitat, water, and other necessities available in the environment . In population biology, carrying capacity is defined as the environment's maximal load, which is different from the concept of population equilibrium . Its effect on population dynamics may be approximated in a logistic model, although this simplification ignores the possibility of overshoot which real systems may exhibit . </P> <P> Carrying capacity was originally used to determine the number of animals that could graze on a segment of land without destroying it . Later, the idea was expanded to more complex populations, like humans . For the human population, more complex variables such as sanitation and medical care are sometimes considered as part of the necessary establishment . As population density increases, birth rate often increases and death rate typically decreases . The difference between the birth rate and the death rate is the "natural increase". The carrying capacity could support a positive natural increase or could require a negative natural increase . Thus, the carrying capacity is the number of individuals an environment can support without significant negative impacts to the given organism and its environment . Below carrying capacity, populations typically increase, while above, they typically decrease . A factor that keeps population size at equilibrium is known as a regulating factor . Population size decreases above carrying capacity due to a range of factors depending on the species concerned, but can include insufficient space, food supply, or sunlight . The carrying capacity of an environment may vary for different species and may change over time due to a variety of factors including: food availability, water supply, environmental conditions and living space . The origins of the term "carrying capacity" are uncertain, with researchers variously stating that it was used "in the context of international shipping" or that it was first used during 19th - century laboratory experiments with micro-organisms . A recent review finds the first use of the term in an 1845 report by the US Secretary of State to the US Senate . </P> <Table> <Tr> <Td> </Td> <Td> This article appears to contradict the article Human overpopulation . Please see discussion on the linked talk page . (May 2014) (Learn how and when to remove this template message) </Td> </Tr> </Table> <Tr> <Td> </Td> <Td> This article appears to contradict the article Human overpopulation . Please see discussion on the linked talk page . (May 2014) (Learn how and when to remove this template message) </Td> </Tr>

Predictions about the earth s carrying capacity have typically centered on which of the following